The Rear View Mirror: Wimbledon 2018

by Savannah

The Gentlemen’s Final

It’s almost a week now.

I thought that the bitterness would be gone by now and that I’d be able to feel less conflicted about the Lawn Tennis Association but here I am on July 20, 2018 and I don’t see how I can avoid talking about why the annoyance continues and the fact that it will continue to be a bitter pill to swallow.

I’m not one of those people who thinks that the Wimbledon Championships are the be all and end all of tennis. I’m not really a fan of grass court tennis. I do appreciate the skill set required to win it. I do like that the mental transition from European red clay to “lawn tennis” requires. The physical demands are different as well. Still it is what it is, and pursuit of the Wimbledon title is the stated goal of every tennis player male or female.

It’s always assumed that the process for winning that title is conducted in a fair manner and that despite some of the manipulations done by the LTA to take a player’s prior grass court play at the tournament in its seeding process that has seemed to always be the case. Fandoms will bitch and moan about how their fave is seeded and why but once the draw is out and play begins there is very little interference by officials in the tournament.

But something happened during the 2018 event.
First there was the spectacle of the top half of the men’s draw. To say one player was given a proverbial cake-walk to the Final is not really disputed by anyone. The bottom half of the draw was set up to be a tooth and nail war of attrition. Whoever survived to the semi’s will have had to fight his way there.

It should be noted in passing that there was a lot of hype surrounding what is and will remain for a long time the best Final in modern tennis history. It ended in near darkness. Looking back, I wonder if that match would’ve been allowed to play out the same way today. There was no roof ten years ago and rules were rules. The decision was made to let play continue because it was clear that to stop play would’ve meant the dynamic of the match would change, and that an overnight rest could possibly favor one player and not the other. It was a fight to the finish and the best man on that day got to lift the trophy.

There will always be a question about the 2018 Men’s Final.

The problems started with the scheduling of the matches. Anyone who has paid the slightest bit of attention to tennis the last five years knows that when two big servers face each other you’re going to have a long match. The marquee match so to speak should’ve been first up. As is usual with tennis nothing is ever straightforward.

There had been a match between two big servers in the Quarterfinals. Pictures were posted on Twitter that showed the stands were mostly empty. Someone decided that was not a look they wanted duplicated on Centre Court.

It should be noted here that the USTA and the LTA have a very close working relationship. It can be said that the USTA had two of its players in that semifinal and did not want it to look as if no one cared about that match, fearing that if the semifinal between the non-Americans went first there would be an exodus of fans that would result in US viewers seeing those empty seats.

An argument can be made that they were doing one of the players a favor since he had played a long match in the previous round. I would counter with the following: “the road to hell is paved with good intentions”. Optics won. And the result was predictable.

The “American” match went first. Predictably it went several hours. Tennis Twitter was raging, and many felt that as soon as the fifth set started the second match should be moved to Court 1. One player had played there during the tournament. The other hadn’t.

The bigger problem was that that stadium was packed to the rafters because there were three Brits playing doubles and there was no way to move those matches that had already begun. The only other option was to start the second match the next day. Yes, there would be issues around scheduling again since the Women’s Final was to be played the next day, but it would’ve been fair to both men. I think that there would’ve been a riot if the Women’s Final was moved to Court 1: there had already been a lot of grousing about the scheduling of the women’s matches. Logically there was no way both the Women’s Final and Men’s Semifinal would not be played on Centre Court. And once again there would be the issue of optics: would fans bolt after the men’s match leaving the women to play before empty stands or would they, knowing they’d hit the jackpot getting two top tier matches for the price of one and remain? My guess would’ve been the later but hey, I’m was sitting at home and no agents and coaches were yelling in my ears.

Both men admit that they were asked what their preference was. For obvious reasons (to me anyway) they disagreed. The second men’s semi began under the roof on Centre Court because it would be dark soon.

It’s been revealed since then that there was no guidance from the rule book regarding the situation. The only guidance that existed stated that if a match begins under the roof and has to conclude the next day it has to be completed under the conditions under which the match began.

It always amazes me when people who are in control of the Crown Jewel of tennis never think to cover all bases. The 2008 Final happened ten years ago. Darkness was a factor. It’s easy to say, “well we put up a roof and that provides lights so that issue is solved.” Except it wasn’t.

The discussion now centers around whether there should be a rule stating that if a fifth set gets to a tie at 9 all or 12 all the US Open rules kick in and a tiebreaker is played. The problem with that is that this situation is usually caused by one player. Should there be a rule named after him that could be invoked not only when he, but other players are in the same situation? Will there be any other player who causes this much mayhem with schedules?

There are no easy answers. Still, I keep coming back to the fact that EVERYONE KNEW this was going to happen and that no one thought about keeping Court 1 open “just in case”. Yes, the optics would’ve been bad if everyone ran to Court 1 but it is what it is. There had to be a better way.

The Ladies Final

Serena Williams had no business being in that Final. I can’t say it enough. If you haven’t watched “Being Serena” you must find time to do so between now and the US Open. That way all of the idiots talking about other players who have come back after giving birth can be ignored. Anyone who has seen “Being Serena” knows what I’m talking about. Any woman who has had a C-section knows what I’m talking about. Any person who has had abdominal surgery knows what I’m talking about. It takes months to feel like yourself again. It takes months for your “core” to firm up. Why? You don’t have to be a doctor to understand slicing through muscles means that they have to heal – that they have to put themselves back together again. For a person leading a regular life this is difficult. For a world class athlete, the healing process moves to another level. Sleeping without discomfort. Lifting a bag of groceries. Lifting and holding a child. These are how most of us would measure success after abdominal surgery. Playing professional tennis doesn’t factor into our return to normal life.

Playing professional, top level tennis is normal life for Serena Williams Ohanian and she wanted to return to that life as quickly as possible. As soon as she was given the okay she was back on the court practicing. She’s come a very long way from that first horrible outing to where she was last Saturday. No one who saw her initial return would’ve been able to predict she’d make the Final.

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again. Serena and her coach are a team. He knows the strength of her will, her need to win. He understood the choice he gave her. If she wanted to return to the top of her sport, there would be sacrifices. When Serena took the court for the Ladies Final the sports world witnessed the personification of will. There was no way she should be there.

I’m not forgetting the other woman in this equation. Angelique Kerber deserved to be there. She played her “human backboard” style of tennis rolling over her opponents. It’s odd how Kerber plays that style and is never criticized for it while Caroline Wozniacki, who plays a similar style, is always described as a “pusher”. Be that as it may I’ve never been able to warm up to Kerber. She’s done nothing wrong publicly or as far as I know behind the scenes. She is personable and professional whenever I’ve had to chance to see her.

The one thing you can’t do when playing Kerber is give her pace. She wants you to do that. If you do she’ll win the match or tournament. If anything showed that Serena had been away for a while it was how she played the Final. It was as if she couldn’t help herself. Boom. Boom. Boom. When she should’ve been slicing and trying to get little drop shots working for her. Make Kerber have to provide her own pace and she crumbles. Mercifully there was no clock and Serena could’ve taken her time to collect herself. That didn’t happen.

The only drama around the Ladies’ Final was when it was scheduled. In tennis a continued match would start after the match that was scheduled to be played first on the same court. Normal had already been upended though and the Ladies Final was up second. Again, that is on the LTA.

End Notes

Fourteen-year-old Cori Gauff of Florida and Mouratoglou Academy is now the top ranked Junior Girl in the world She’s the youngest to achieve that ranking in a few years. She’s almost as tall as Venus Williams already and she’s still growing. She’s a good mover. My fear is that they will push her too hard too fast. I think that with Mouratoglou in the picture there’s less chance of that happening.

Lost in all the other drama was the Roland Garros/Wimbledon double win achieved by Tseng Chun-hsin of Chinese Taipei. He was also the runner up in the Australian Open. There are men who have been on the tour for years who haven’t come close to that record. As with Gauff the worry is that he’ll be pushed onto the main tour before he is ready mentally and physically. His mental process will be very different in five years. The same for Cori. There are many very good Juniors who have had trouble making the transition to the main tour. Many of them succumb to injury and loss of confidence by playing against older, mature player before they’re ready.. For juniors of this caliber, especially now that careers don’t end at the age of thirty, there is no real rush. There is the lure of money and financially strapped parents may want to start seeing a return on their investment sooner rather than later and I understand that. I’d just hate for these two talented young people to fall by the wayside.

As usual the commentary provided by ESPN was abominable. At one point Chris Evert declared Mallorca independent from Spain. To her credit Ms Evert recovered and made the following comments:

In response to an idiot comparing his fave having elbow surgery to what Serena survived she posted “Yes, it is the same as giving birth, then having multiple life saving surgeries and being bedridden, breastfeeding and coming back in 8 months… yes…you’re right…”

She also spoke up about Margaret Court’s “record” number of Slams saying that no one used to go to the Australian Open because it was held during Christmas back when Court played. She was not the only player to speak up about that “record”, with a former ATP player saying that the real record was set by Stefanie Graf at 22 Slams, a record Serena has already broken. And even that can be argued since Monica Seles was unable to play after being stabbed for quite some time. There are always exceptions in tennis. That’s why “records” that appear out of the blue referencing a back in the day player should always be taken with a grain of salt.

Final Thoughts

The US Open Series will officially start next week and while play on a natural surface will continue in Europe another week the players have to start preparations for the US summer hard court season. We won’t see most of the top players until the Rogers Cup tournaments in Montréal and Toronto. It’s a good time to see some of the men and women who are usually relegated to outer courts at big tournaments and the Slams. Don’t forget that they’re playing against people who have about the same skill level as they do and won’t be “punching up” so much. I’ve always liked the time between Slams for just that reason.

There is one more thing that should be noted as Wimbledon fades from view.

DiVz-r-W4AYUb8q

posted by  Jul 17

There was that other sporting event that was held on the day of the Gentlemen’s Final, something Called the World Cup but still.

And yes it’s time to move on.

©2018 Savannah’s World Tennis. All Rights Reserved except where indicated

The Rear View Mirror: Wimbledon 2017

by Savannah

There’s no getting around it. This Wimbledon sucked. There was no “must see” singles match although some are arguing that Gilles Muller vs Rafael Nadal was one I get the feeling those people were rooting for Nadal to be beaten before the semi finals anyway. When Muller lost next round there was no great outpouring of sympathy towards him from those who had been cheering him during his last match. The one riveting match was a men’s doubles match.

Andy Murray‘s refusal to retire even though he was visibly struggling is to be commended. It showed that he respects the sport and his place in it. Still, his remarks defending women’s tennis – read Serena Williams and Venus Williams – drew more comment from the tennis writers who think tennis is the ATP and that the WTA is a side show. That new WTA CEO Steve Simon is working hard to make women’s tennis invisible it is still a major part of tennis with millions of fans, fans who are upset that the only way to see women’s tennis on an ongoing basis is at a Slam. Mixed events don’t count since the WTA has it’s own contract with Premier/BeIn sports which makes it impossible to see female athletes playing on a regular basis.

But enough of that. Why was this Wimbledon disappointing? There was just nothing to hold a casual fans attention. How many casual fans have heard of Garbiñe Muguruza? If you don’t know why see the above paragraph. As I predicted someone out of left field won the tournament. Muguruza has done squat since winning the French Open but as usual, when a Williams is across the net the mentally dead suddenly remember how to play tennis. Venus did not claim injury, fatigue, or age, as a reason for her loss despite the “journalists” trying to get her to do so. Minus that they had to fall back on praising the winner although there isn’t much there to praise. They tried to create some drama around her coach Sam Sumyk not being there but it leaked out that his wife was going into labor and he stayed home to be with her. Some even went so far as to say Conchita Martinez should take over as her coach forgetting Martinez already had Fed Cup and Davis Cup on her plate. To her credit Muguruza said she spoke with her coach every day so the Conchita boomlet faded away. I don’t think anyone would be surprised if she fades back into the pack. Hey remember Aljona Ostapenko?

As for the men’s winner I really, truly, have no words. Let’s look at what he’s done so far this year. He got an extra day’s rest in Melbourne that no other player got. Along the way he admitted to taking an unneeded medical time out. For no reason whatsoever other than that he knew he wouldn’t win the Slam he skipped clay season. After losing to Haas in a Wimbledon warm up he then strolled into Wimbledon as #4 in ranking but seeded third ahead of the #2 player. His draw? I think Cilic was the highest seed he faced and he, unfortunately, couldn’t compete in the Final due to an injury that had him in excruciating pain through most of it. The tennis media reacted as if he’d faced murderer’s row and the paeans rolled off the presses. No mention that of all the players he was the one who had the freshest legs and the cup cake draw.

The one good thing that happened is that other fandoms have had enough and are pushing back against the people who think if you admire someone else somehow you’re a lesser being and don’t recognize someone they see as royalty. I saw less of the usual gloating from fans who react like prepubescent girls in front of the latest hot movie star when it comes to their faves.

The rankings? Numbers 3 & 4 on the ATP side switched places. Karolína Plíšková became the WTA’s newest slamless number one with fewer points and fewer accomplishments than any of the previous slamless #1’s for the WTA. I will throw in a worse game as well. Some have tried but there is no way this woman can be considered among the greats of the game. She’s in the top spot due to the number of points she has now. Simona Halep, who I once thought had Slam potential is a few points behind Plíšková and it’s likely the two will alternate at the top of the rankings for the summer. I don’t think either one has Slam potential. To be hones I think Kristina Mladenovic has a better chance than either Halep or Plíšková.

Where do we go from here? With both Murray and Novak Djokovic injured some interesting things can happen on the men’s side. We may not see either man before Cincinnati. The women will continue to toil in virtual anonymity and before small crowds until the US Open when they’ll be visible again for many fans. Halep and Plíšková rotating as number one is not all that interesting to me. Still I think it’ll be Plíšková who will hold the number one ranking come US Open time and dshe still won’t win it. Someone else will come out of the blue and take that title. And no it won’t be that doper who will get a WC into the main draw.

Champions

Men’s Singles
Switzerland Roger Federer
Women’s Singles
Spain Garbiñe Muguruza
Men’s Doubles
Poland Łukasz Kubot / Brazil Marcelo Melo
Women’s Doubles
Russia Ekaterina Makarova / Russia Elena Vesnina
Mixed Doubles
United Kingdom Jamie Murray / Switzerland Martina Hingis
Boys’ Singles
Spain Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Girls’ Singles
United States Claire Liu
Boys’ Doubles
Argentina Axel Geller / Chinese Taipei Hsu Yu-hsiou
Girls’ Doubles
Serbia Olga Danilović / Slovenia Kaja Juvan
Gentlemen’s Invitation Doubles
Australia Lleyton Hewitt / Australia Mark Philippoussis
Ladies’ Invitation Doubles
Zimbabwe Cara Black / United States Martina Navratilova
Senior Gentlemen’s Invitation Doubles
Netherlands Jacco Eltingh / Netherlands Paul Haarhuis
Wheelchair Men’s Singles
Sweden Stefan Olsson
Wheelchair Women’s Singles
Netherlands Diede de Groot
Wheelchair Men’s Doubles
United Kingdom Alfie Hewett / United Kingdom Gordon Reid
Wheelchair Women’s Doubles
Japan Yui Kamiji / United Kingdom Jordanne Whiley

©2017 Savannah’s World All Rights Reserved

The View From Here: Wimbledon 2017

by Savannah

Aren’t you sick of predictions based on the draw by now? I mean everyone picked Alona Ostapenko to win Roland Garros right? It’s time to stop looking at draws solely through the lens of ranking and popularity with the press and look at what could really happen in London over the next two weeks – sorry fort night.

Let me back up a bit. Rankings for the top players matter because where they’re ranked determines where they’re seeded and who they face in the early rounds. Then there’s Wimbledon where they tell you up front they can do whatever they want with the men’s seeding but basically leave the women’s seeding’s alone. That’s why the man ranked #2 in the world is seeded #4 and that’s all right because the man seeded #3 is worshipped as a god by some in the media.

Be that as it may I think all of the volatility will be on the women’s side. I read an article today where the WTA #1 Angelique Kerber is pretty much saying don’t expect her to do well. If she does, well all right then but if not, hey, it is what it is.

I still don’t get why people keep picking Simona Halep to do well at a Slam. She doesn’t do pressure people. And Darren won’t be able to come down and give her a pep talk when she’s at the business end of a match as the saying goes. She folds mentally and all her opponent has to do is keep her out there. Still depending on how things break, Slamless or not she has a chance to become ranked #1. Cue the articles praising her “consistency” and talking about how Darren Cahill has done a great job getting her the ranking. Keep in mind she may not win Wimbledon or any other Slam. This kudo would be more for her coach than her.

And that leads to Karolina Pliskova who despite all the shortcomings of her game also has a chance to become number one if Kerber falters. The hype would be a bit different for her though. Halep can move well (as long as it’s not to the net) where KaPlis can’t. As I’ve said before she is an updated version of Daniela Hantuchova. She needs to plant herself firmly on the baseline and come in on her terms. Force her out of her comfort zone, make her have to bend to get a return, and she’s toast. Again, she doesn’t have to win Wimbledon to become Number one but if she and Halep win one match at Wimbledon Kerber will need to make the Final to hold on to the top ranking. Since Pliskova the elder won Eastbourne she’s gained an advantage over Halep in this particular race to the top.

I’d be remiss in not emphasizing the fact that there is no on court coaching here. Some have criticized Ostapenko for constantly looking to her coach. These same people were okay when Justine Henin used to do the same thing. They also ignore Halep’s dependency on Cahill. I guess if the woman’s coach is a man it’s all right for her to look at her coach after every shot. Tennis journalism is so, weird. I use that word. Weird.

Still I don’t think any of the women mentioned above will hold the Venus Rosewater trophy. I think with the WTA the “top” players will do well at lesser tournaments (P5’s and Premier Mandatories) but that at Slams “unknown” will have the advantage, someone like Ostapenko who will put it together for two weeks while the others succumb to the pressure and fall by the wayside. I just don’t think any of the “top” players, regardless of ranking, have the mental or physical toughness needed to hold themselves together for the duration of a Slam.

So welcome back to the era of Slamless Number one’s people. Enjoy Wimbledon. I’ll check back in on Middle Sunday. By that time everything I’ve predicted will probably have fallen apart.

©2017 Savannahs World Tennis All Rights Reserved

The Championships 2016

by Savannah

The Yawn, I mean Lawn Tennis season such as it is is drawing to a close. The Championships- Wimbledon begin on Monday June 27. The draws have been released and those who play suicide pools and racquet brackets have made their choices. So it’s okay to look at the draws from a slightly different perspective.

The draw for any tennis tournament is predictive. It tells you that based on prior performance the players are ranked in terms of how they should perform at the event. It’s a simplistic view but that is what a draw is. The implications of a draw are something else again. Bottom line it’s a snapshot not only of where players are at a fixed point in time but also their value to their respective tour(s). Your top player is your most valuable player, the face of your sport. He or she is the person who comes to mind when fans, casual or obsessed, think of the sport. Ironically for both current number one’s, for different reasons, are problematic for their tours.

Now that the woman who has been the face of the tour for several years is suspended for doping you can almost see the flailing in the executive suite trying to find a new face, someone who it can sell to sponsors as the embodiment of women’s tennis. Stung by the all blond all the time critique from many fans it seems as if Garbiñe Muguruza is leading the pack.The woman who was leading for “next” is suing the WTA and has not been playing well at all. Not much has been said about the suit by tennis journalists (of course I could’ve missed it)since when I see some journalists handles on Twitter I relexively move on, but it’s hard to push someone to the front of the line who hasn’t even bothered to hide her sense of entitlement from fans.

Not that Muguruza is any better. She does seem to have become adept at hiding behind a smiling girly public persona and is now being talked about as the next WTA #1 by none other than Chris Evert. By next year her former coaches comments about her ego will only be mentioned in the context of sour grapes from a man who was shoved aside as a player made moves to get the best coaching available.

So what’s the matter with the current WTA #1? She has dominated the tour, is the top earning female athlete on the planet, has been a great ambassador for her sport, and aside from one outburst that caused a lot of folks to over react has maintained an excellent public persona. But “she doesn’t look like a tennis player”. What does that mean? It means she’s not lithe, rail thin, white and blonde so for some that means she can never be the official face of tennis. I think in the face of current politics both in Europe and the United States it’s necessary to speak clearly. Even if she makes history there will always be a mental asterisk next to her name for some. That tennis is willing to help promote a woman who doped for ten years tells you how much the image of a female tennis player is based on nothing more complex than race.

Having said all that let’s look at the WTA draw.

WILLIAMS, Serena USA [1] vs SADIKOVIC, Amra SUI (Q)
MCHALE, Christina USA vs HANTUCHOVA, Daniela SVK (W)
WATSON, Heather GBR vs BECK, Annika GER
SASNOVICH, Aliaksandra BLR vs MLADENOVIC, Kristina FRA [31]

STEPHENS, Sloane USA [18] vs PENG, Shuai CHN
MINELLA, Mandy LUX (Q) vs TATISHVILI, Anna USA
MOORE, Tara GBR (W) vs VAN UYTVANCK, Alison BEL
WOZNIACKI, Caroline DEN vs KUZNETSOVA, Svetlana RUS [13]

BACSINSZKY, Timea SUI [11] vs KUMKHUM, Luksika THA (Q)
NICULESCU, Monica ROU vs KRUNIC, Aleksandra SRB (Q)
PUTINTSEVA, Yulia KAZ vs MELNIKOVA, Marina RUS (W)
HSIEH, Su-Wei TPE vs PAVLYUCHENKOVA, Anastasia RUS [21]

VANDEWEGHE, Coco USA [27] vs BONDARENKO, Kateryna UKR
SWAN, Katie GBR (W) vs BABOS, Timea HUN
PLISKOVA, Kristyna CZE vs DUAN, Ying-Ying CHN (L)
RISKE, Alison USA vs VINCI, Roberta ITA [6]

RADWANSKA, Agnieszka POL [3] vs KOZLOVA, Kateryna UKR
KNAPP, Karin ITA vs KONJUH, Ana CRO
PARMENTIER, Pauline FRA vs SINIAKOVA, Katerina CZE
BUYUKAKCAY, Cagla TUR vs GARCIA, Caroline FRA [30]

CIBULKOVA, Dominika SVK [19] vs LUCIC-BARONI, Mirjana CRO
GAVRILOVA, Daria AUS vs WANG, Qiang CHN
BOUCHARD, Eugenie CAN vs RYBARIKOVA, Magdalena SVK
PUIG, Monica PUR vs KONTA, Johanna GBR [16]

KVITOVA, Petra CZE [10] vs CIRSTEA, Sorana ROU
MAKAROVA, Ekaterina RUS vs LARSSON, Johanna SWE
RODINA, Evgeniya RUS (W) vs TSURENKO, Lesia UKR
KONTAVEIT, Anett EST vs STRYCOVA, Barbora CZE [24]

PETKOVIC, Andrea GER [32] vs HIBINO, Nao JPN
VESNINA, Elena RUS vs PASZEK, Tamira AUT (Q)
BOSERUP, Julia USA (Q) vs MARIA, Tatjana GER (Q)
PIRONKOVA, Tsvetana BUL vs BENCIC, Belinda SUI [7]

To get through to the quarters Serena will potentially face several players who have given her trouble either recently or in the past. Those who have not troubled her in the past(Watson, McHale, Mladenovic) are very thirsty (Beck, Sasnovich). Hantuchova is the odd one out here (her head to head with Serena is 9-1 in Serena’s favor).

Sloane Stephens (Did she play a warm up event? I don’t think so) got a walking Bye facing Peng Shuai in her first round match. Peng is coming bac from injury and while she played a warm up looked rusty. Still the H2H between the two is 2-1 in Peng’s favor.

Wozniacki vs Kuznetova is potentially a good match. The head to head is close (6-5 in Woz’s favor) and both have a lot to prove. Sveta, when she wants to play, is dangerous and has the potential to go deep in the draw. Woz just hasn’t looked ready to me. She’s coming off of injury too and Sveta can either romp or limp off the court.

Bacsinszky runs hot and cold to me. She faces another walking Bye first round in Kumkhun. In fact on paper there is no one in her section that can pose a problem for her until she meets Pavs, who is having a lackluster year.

Coco Vandeweghe has been the big story for US tennis this spring/summer. She’s only shown her butt once during grass court season which is a miracle for her. Timea Babos will be a tough out for her and if she passes that test she could face Roberta Vinci, another tough out.

Aga Radwanska’s section should see her facing either Garcia or Buyukakcay. Should she make it through? Some will say yes. She can beat everyone in that section but someone can also push her hard.

Continuing with the bottom half of the top half of the draw there is Johanna Konta’s section with Domi Cibulkova as the other seed. Bouchard, Gavrilova (I’m not impressed) and Puig (I could be impressed) are in that part of the draw with Lucic-Baroni having the potential to wreak some havoc if she’s focused and keeps her wits about her. Cibulkova just won Eastbourne so her performance will depend on when she has to play.

Will Kvitova face her countrywoman Strycova? Petra has to win her matches in two sets. She’s looked worn out when a match has gone three. Tsurenko and Makarova are the women who could crash the party.

In the Petko/Bencic section anyone can win. Bencic has been struggling with injury and Petkovic just doesn’t seem ready to me. That’s the only section I’d call a toss up from the top half.

HALEP, Simona ROU [5] vs SCHMIEDLOVA, Anna Karolina SVK
SEVASTOVA, Anastasija LAT vs SCHIAVONE, Francesca ITA
KOVINIC, Danka MNE vs BARTHEL, Mona GER
OSTAPENKO, Jelena LAT vs BERTENS, Kiki NED [26]

ERRANI, Sara ITA [20] vs TIG, Patricia Maria ROU
CORNET, Alize FRA vs HERCOG, Polona SLO
GIBBS, Nicole USA vs FLIPKENS, Kirsten BEL
SIEGEMUND, Laura GER vs KEYS, Madison USA [9]

PLISKOVA, Karolina CZE [15] vs WICKMAYER, Yanina BEL
DOI, Misaki JPN vs CHIRICO, Louisa USA
DIYAS, Zarina KAZ vs FRIEDSAM, Anna-Lena GER
ALEXANDROVA, Ekaterina RUS (Q) vs IVANOVIC, Ana SRB [23]

BEGU, Irina-Camelia ROU [25] vs WITTHOEFT, Carina GER
NARA, Kurumi JPN vs BRENGLE, Madison USA
PEREIRA, Teliana BRA vs LEPCHENKO, Varvara USA
ROBSON, Laura GBR (W) vs KERBER, Angelique GER [4]

WILLIAMS, Venus USA [8] vs VEKIC, Donna CRO
ZHENG, Saisai CHN vs SAKKARI, Maria GRE (Q)
ARRUABARRENA, Lara ESP vs GOVORTSOVA, Olga BLR
DUVAL, Victoria USA vs KASATKINA, Daria RUS [29]

JANKOVIC, Jelena SRB [22] vs VOEGELE, Stefanie SUI
FALCONI, Irina USA vs ERAKOVIC, Marina NZL (Q)
GASPARYAN, Margarita RUS vs ALLERTOVA, Denisa CZE
ZHANG, Shuai CHN vs SUAREZ NAVARRO, Carla ESP [12]

STOSUR, Samantha AUS [14] vs LINETTE, Magda POL
LISICKI, Sabine GER vs ROGERS, Shelby USA
SHVEDOVA, Yaroslava KAZ vs GOERGES, Julia GER
BROADY, Naomi GBR vs SVITOLINA, Elina UKR [17]

SAFAROVA, Lucie CZE [28] vs MATTEK-SANDS, Bethanie USA
CRAWFORD, Samantha USA vs KANIA, Paula POL (Q)
CEPELOVA, Jana SVK (Q) vs DUQUE-MARINO, Mariana COL
GIORGI, Camila ITA vs MUGURUZA, Garbine ESP [2]

Halep. Bertens. Barthel(?) AKS was looked at as being one of the next big things but has played like anything but recently. Ostapenko vs Bertens should be a barn burner. Bertens just won a title and Ostapenko, no matter how you feel about her, has shown she can if she wants to and stays focused. Halep should have to face either her or Bertens to make it out of that section but Halep isn’t a sure thing anymore.

I’m looking forward to Keys vs Siegemund. We know the potential Keys has. We also know that if her opponent oesn’t let her do what she wants she falls apart. Siegemund will not let her have her way without a fight.

Angelique Kerber should have no problems making it out of her section.

I always want Venus to do well but she’s not a sure thing anymore. On paper Vekic has nothing to beat her with but Venus health trumps everything else. A loss to Vekic would be devastating but any and everything is in the realm of possibility.

I’d really like to see Duval get a first round win but Kasatkina is a tough out.

JJ/CSN section = tossup

Stosur/Svitolina? Shelby Rogers?

And finally Mugu’s section. She should win her first round and romp over anyone else. If Venus loses early there is no one who can stop her getting to the quarters. If she makes another final here the PR machine will go into overdrive.

I didn’t forget the ATP draw.

DJOKOVIC, Novak SRB [1] vs WARD, James GBR (W)
EDMUND, Kyle GBR vs MANNARINO, Adrian FRA
BELLUCCI, Thomaz BRA vs BEMELMANS, Ruben BEL (Q)
ROSOL, Lukas CZE vs QUERREY, Sam USA [28]

KOHLSCHREIBER, Philipp GER [21] vs HERBERT, Pierre-Hugues FRA
DZUMHUR, Damir BIH vs KUDLA, Denis USA
KLEIN, Brydan GBR (W) vs MAHUT, Nicolas FRA
SELA, Dudi ISR vs FERRER, David ESP [13]

GOFFIN, David BEL [11] vs WARD, Alexander GBR (W)
ROGER-VASSELIN, Edouard FRA (Q) vs GABASHVILI, Teymuraz RUS
ALMAGRO, Nicolas ESP vs DUTRA SILVA, Rogerio BRA
ISTOMIN, Denis UZB vs ANDERSON, Kevin RSA [20]

SOCK, Jack USA [27] vs GULBIS, Ernests LAT
SCHWARTZMAN, Diego ARG vs HAASE, Robin NED
SEPPI, Andreas ITA vs GARCIA-LOPEZ, Guillermo ESP
CARRENO BUSTA, Pablo ESP vs RAONIC, Milos CAN [6]

FEDERER, Roger SUI [3] vs PELLA, Guido ARG
BERANKIS, Ricardas LTU vs WILLIS, Marcus GBR (Q)
EVANS, Daniel GBR vs STRUFF, Jan-Lennard GER
DONSKOY, Evgeny RUS vs DOLGOPOLOV, Alexandr UKR [30]

MONFILS, Gael FRA [17] vs CHARDY, Jeremy FRA
JAZIRI, Malek TUN vs JOHNSON, Steve USA
FRATANGELO, Bjorn USA (Q) vs DIMITROV, Grigor BUL
TIPSAREVIC, Janko SRB vs SIMON, Gilles FRA [16]

CILIC, Marin CRO [9] vs BAKER, Brian USA
STAKHOVSKY, Sergiy UKR vs NISHIOKA, Yoshihito JPN (Q)
LORENZI, Paolo ITA vs LACKO, Lukas SVK (Q)
CORIC, Borna CRO vs KARLOVIC, Ivo CRO [23]

CUEVAS, Pablo URU [29] vs KUZNETSOV, Andrey RUS
GIRALDO, Santiago COL vs MULLER, Gilles LUX
BENNETEAU, Julien FRA vs MARCHENKO, Illya UKR
GROTH, Sam AUS vs NISHIKORI, Kei JPN [5]

Bottom Half

THIEM, Dominic AUT [8] vs MAYER, Florian GER
VESELY, Jiri CZE vs SIJSLING, Igor NED (Q)
SAVILLE, Luke AUS (Q) vs NOVIKOV, Dennis USA (Q)
TURSUNOV, Dmitry RUS vs SOUSA, Joao POR [31]

ZVEREV, Alexander GER [24] vs MATHIEU, Paul-Henri FRA
ZEBALLOS, Horacio ARG vs YOUZHNY, Mikhail RUS
BECKER, Benjamin GER vs BAGNIS, Facundo ARG
DODIG, Ivan CRO vs BERDYCH, Tomas CZE [10]

BAUTISTA AGUT, Roberto ESP [14] vs THOMPSON, Jordan AUS
KUKUSHKIN, Mikhail KAZ vs KLIZAN, Martin SVK
ELIAS, Gastao POR vs ALBOT, Radu MDA (Q)
VERDASCO, Fernando ESP vs TOMIC, Bernard AUS [19]

POUILLE, Lucas FRA [32] vs COPIL, Marius ROU (Q)
YOUNG, Donald USA vs MAYER, Leonardo ARG
ROBERT, Stephane FRA vs DEL POTRO, Juan Martin ARG
FRITZ, Taylor USA vs WAWRINKA, Stan SUI [4]

GASQUET, Richard FRA [7] vs BEDENE, Aljaz GBR
GRANOLLERS, Marcel ESP vs ESTRELLA BURGOS, Victor DOM
POSPISIL, Vasek CAN vs RAMOS-VINOLAS, Albert ESP
LAMASINE, Tristan FRA (Q) vs TROICKI, Viktor SRB [25]

ISNER, John USA [18] vs BAGHDATIS, Marcos CYP
OLIVETTI, Albano FRA (Q) vs BARTON, Matthew AUS (Q)
DANIEL, Taro JPN vs MONACO, Juan ARG
CERVANTES, Inigo ESP vs TSONGA, Jo-Wilfried FRA [12]

KYRGIOS, Nick AUS [15] vs STEPANEK, Radek CZE (W)
LAJOVIC, Dusan SRB vs BROWN, Dustin GER (W)
DELBONIS, Federico ARG vs FOGNINI, Fabio ITA
RAM, Rajeev USA vs LOPEZ, Feliciano ESP [22]

PAIRE, Benoit FRA [26] vs SKUGOR, Franko CRO (Q)
MILLMAN, John AUS vs MONTANES, Albert ESP
LU, Yen-Hsun TPE vs KUDRYAVTSEV, Alexander RUS (Q)
BROADY, Liam GBR (W) vs MURRAY, Andy GBR [2]

The top half of the draw, while not as ridiculous as the Roland Garros draw, is still set up for one result. There are some interesting players in the bottom half of the draw though.

Thiem. Alexander Zverev. RBA. All of these players are in the top part of the bottom half of the draw. So are Berdych and Wawrinka. The bottom part of the bottom half with one exception is pretty soft. Will Murray have to play Kyrgios? We’ll see. Those pics of Kyrgios drinking out of a hip flask don’t instill confidence.

Still this is Wimbledon. The US and English tennis journalists make this, along with the US Open, and a lesser extent Melbourne their raison d’être so every result will be looked at as oracle’s of the future. The US will be looking for decent results from Sock (vs Gulbis first round), Fritz (vs Wawrinka first round), and Isner (vs Baghdatis first round).

Sadly, or some would say purposely, Roger Federer, who is more of a danger to Murray than he is to Djokovic, is in the bottom half of the top half of the draw. The other seed in his section is Dolgopolov. Federer usually gets a cake walk to the quarters but once out of his section there are some men who could potentially do some harm if they weren’t coming off of injury.

The men’s draw is set up for one specific purpose and unless something drastic happens there’s no reason the people who set up the draw not to get what they want.

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